Eight years ago, Republican nominee Donald Trump carried Michigan by the slimmest of margins, two-tenths of a percentage point, riding a wave of populist anger and general indifference toward the major party candidates on his way to the White House.
While Michigan Supreme Court seats are nonpartisan, candidates are nominated at state party conventions. Democratic justices currently hold a 4-3 majority on the Court. Republicans can gain a 4-3 majority if both O'Grady and Fink win.
According to Nate Silver 's popular model in late October 2024, Harris held a lead in Michigan, with 48.4 percent of the projected vote compared to Donald Trump's 47.2 percent, giving her a slight 0.4 point advantage. This margin had reduced from earlier in the month with Trump improving his numbers by 0.9 points since September.